May the Source be with you
In honour of what will soon become the highest grossing and likely, the most viewed movie of all time, my theme for this issue of the Source will be Star Wars. Hopefully, given the state of the Alberta economy, this will not be the final issue, but just an episode in a continuing saga in this space.
Episode 1: The Dark Lord and ‘The City of Light’
In a Galaxy, not too far far away, the war between the evil forces of the antioilsand’s supporters led by the Dark Lord, Darth O.B.1ama, continue their attempts to manipulate the planet’s climate in a villainous ploy to extort payment from a confused and economically challenged human population.
The Republic’s dark plan is to force citizens to use much more expensive alternative energy sources, over which, the Dark Lord has total control. He is supported by his 2 key henchmen Warren the Buff and Bill the Gatekeeper and an army of formidable storm-troopers.
The Dark Lord and his Gorey cronies gather in the ‘City of Light’ to strategize on ways to further brainwash the population into believing that their human existence depends entirely on the use of the evil Republic’s ultimate weapon of climate control.
Meanwhile, a small brave, band of Fossil Knights, led by Yoga and Chewtobacca, bravely try to build a pipeline to deliver much needed supplies of oil to a freezing community on the edge of the forsaken zone.
The Dark Lord’s Republican army closes in, determined to thwart Yoga’s and Chewtobacca’s efforts to bring relief to the population.
Yoga, though small, very old and wrinkly, is a very active, flexible, green man, who understands the environment and the forces of Mother Nature. “To be at one with nature. Use the force we must”, says Yoga.
Chewtobacca, a hairy, Saskwookie, hermit, who has remained hidden for many years from the planet’s humanoid lifeforms, gurgles his agreement at Yoga’s sage words.
“Convince the people, we must”, says Yoga. “To win; the fossils and the force we must use. Beat the Dark Lord, we will”.
Episode 2: The Evil Apprentice
The ailing Dark Lord seeking a successor from a band of evil candidates calls for an election from his most trusted accomplices.
Princess Hilleia emerges as the most evil, and with help from her even more 26 the source
evil consort, Slick Willy, moves quickly to consolidate her power over her rival Bernie Sandwalker and the planet’s submissive population.
Yoga and Chewtobacca are forced into an unholy alliance with a group of the defeated candidates led by the Trumpenator, in the hope of defeating the Republican army of storm-troopers, who use every naturally occurring storm as evidence that they need to be in control of the planet’s climate. And so the struggle between good and evil continues.
May the Force be with you and may the Source be with you also.
Challenged we are, at this time of uncertainty. Companies involved in the business of Energy, including producers; service companies; suppliers; and just about every company based in Alberta directly or indirectly dependent on the Oil & Gas industry are circling the wagons to survive.
Financial support for Associations has been greatly eroded. Membership fees; sponsorships; signups for events and conferences and, not the least, advertising in ‘The Source’ are all suffering in consequence.
The CAGC has had to severely cut discretionary spending to the bone but will continue to serve its membership for as long as possible, even if this means reducing activities and services for members. Please try to support the CAGC as best you can and thank you to all of the volunteers and companies that allow their employees to continue to be involved on industry committees.
From Wikipedia: Paris is often referred to as “The City of Light” (La Ville Lumière), both because of its leading role during the Age of Enlightenment, and more literally because Paris was one of
the first European cities to adopt gas street lighting.
$Tar Wars cast
The Dark Lord ............... Barrack Obama
Princess Hilleia ............... Hillary Clinton
Slick Willy ............................. Bill Clinton
Warren the Buff ................Warren Buffett
Bill the Gatekeeper ................. Bill Gates
Bernie Sandwalker ......... Bernie Sanders
Stormtooper 1 ............................. Al Gore
Stormtooper 2 ..................... David Suzuki
Stormtooper 3 .......... Leonardo DiCaprio
Stormtooper 4 ..................... Ed Begley Jr
Stormtooper 5 ................. Robert Redford
Stormtooper 6 .................. Harrison Ford
The Trumpenator ............. Donald Trump
Fossil Knights ................................. Yoga
Fossil Knight ..................... Chewtobacca
Sinister Music by .... Willie Nelson & Neil Young
Friday, 26 February 2016
AAAAAAAAGGGHHHHH!!!!!! Melting ice caps, brown polar bears, hurricanes, droughts, floods, syphilis (I think), cold winters, warm winters, lightning, terrorism (seriously), weed, tidal waves, indigestion, and a whole other list of holy horrors are at our threshold because of climate change and that climate change is due to *bony finger extends from screen* YOU!
Well, that’s what’s being fed to us and our kids, AND for years now. I just have to ask, is climate change still a thing?
Let’s start with the fact that its beginning was dubious. When I was in short pants, it was ‘global warming’. That didn’t perfectly fit the reality of what was going on, so the environmental profiteers figured the more all-encompassing ‘climate change’ would serve their purpose better. It’s a nice catch-all for having an explanation for any question no one’s asked yet. And it can insulate from the ever-growning list of failed predictions from our climate scions.
And what is their ‘purpose’? I’m going ot have to say the science isn’t settled (natch) on that.
Is there a ‘one world’ government conspiracy going on that the nefarious powers that be know the best way to buckle the will of the people is to muck with their quality of life by making a cheap power source expensive, with a sprinkling of wealth redistribution on the side?
Or is Al Gore that smart that he realized the racket here? Maybe, he’s made a ton while not doing a thing to help the environment, and created an entire industry on ‘carbon trading’. This whole false economy is now actually a thing adjudicated, adjusted and enforced by governments to varying degrees, and varying depths into the cores of their taxpayers.
Or is it the fundamentalists that just hate things that work? Fossil fuels have fostered the best quality of life in the planet’s history and is helping the basket cases of the world crawl out of it. As they say, a rising tide lifts all boats. But some can’t stand that for whatever reason. They’re just negative? Or they like the government teat as opposed to gumption and innovation. The cheerleaders of government’s funding ‘alternative’ energy cannot be serious about helping the earth and her inhabitants. Let’s look at solar power, it’s about as reliable as Justin Trudeau making it through a paragraph without at least half of dozen ‘ums’ and ‘ahs’. Or wind power, the hideous structures that require more steel coking than any oil well, and more grotesquely harvested rare earth elements than a high school classroom of cellphones, that also has the benefit of being unreliable, inefficient and murders flying wildlife with holocaust-like magnitude.
Oops, did I just invoke one of humanity’s most monstrous moments? Well, they started it. ‘Climate Change Deniers’ was chosen for a specific reason. To evoke the same imagery I just did. And its all part of the pattern of the climate change apparatus – to go Mountain Dew extreme on the rhetoric. But methinks they have overshot, and the cause is starting to falter due to just that.
We constantly hear the science is settled, no more questions, this interview is over – well, it’s not. The very nature of the scientific method can address this point as ridiculous. Many people are questioning more and more every day. So waving a magic hockey stick and declaring it ‘settled’ does not work, and in fact weakens your position.
And then the claim that should make us ‘normals’ shutter – that 98% of climate scientists say the science is settled. This has been eviscerated by many people (none in mainstream media), but recently an interesting article at examiner.com addressed the issue. But I will point out some of the main highlights. The Examiner thinks the real number of scientists who believe in global warming is actually somewhere around 30%, but to me, the most revealing thing is the sub-groups revealed by the survey. It’s not a black and white issue – there were a number of respondents that have a truly scientific, nuanced approach to the issue; that climate change is a combination of the following variables: man-made, natural, bad, good, threat to humanity, benefit to humanity, something we can do something about, something we can’t do something about, something that we can not efficiently do something about or a mixture of all these.
THE CONCLUSION TO BE TAKEN FROM THIS IS THE FOLLOWING:
· The science of man-made climate change is not even close to being settled, and needs further study
· The reality is that even if we could blame man for climate change, is there enough we could do to make a negligible difference as opposed to spending that money on mitigating the effects of climate change
· The cost of our actions when weighed against the outcome do not coincide to a net benefit for the planet or humanity
· The cost of climate change policy can take resources away from ‘actual’ proven causes of environmental damage
With that being said, I think its time people look at climate change in the right terms: if it gets colder, buy a toque – if it gets warmer, turn your jeans into jean shorts – and most importantly, do not tax carbon, support safe pipelines, continue to innovate best practice technologies for environmental management, and keep calm. In fact, get back to and export those ideals, because Western Canada has been doing that for decades.
It’s madness to overturn the economic apple cart for something we don’t understand, and even if we could agree to an understanding, no cost-benefit analysis has been done to justify the actions many are trying to inflict on their citizenry.
And no, the sky is not falling, but don’t take it form – I’m a (gasp), denier!!!!
Sincerely, Chris Grabill - Oilfield Pulse.com / Feb 2016
Let’s get some facts out of the way before getting too deeply into this discussion. Science is science no matter what any actor, producer, or politician tries to tell you. The absolute bottom line is man is tough on our planet! The industrial revolution understandably has changed the makeup of our air, water, and soil. NASA points out that CO2 in the atmosphere is at an all-time high of 400 ppm. Prior to 1950, the atmospheric CO2 ranged from 100 ppm to 300 ppm. Glacial ice IS melting, but in the last 650,000 years, there have been seven cycles of advance and retreat of glacial ice. We should also all understand CH4 (methane) is roughly 23 times more damaging to the atmosphere than CO2. Nitrous oxide is another GHG that is rarely mentioned but does considerable damage. The planet IS warming, and it is a direct result of man.
According to the U.S. EPA, if we shipped 830,000 bpd from the oil sands to gulf coast refineries via the keystone pipeline, it would add, in total, 18.7 million tons of CO2 into the atmosphere. To add some perspective to that number, the United States puts 6.5 BILLION tons of CO2 into the atmosphere each and every year. Therefore, if the Keystone had been approved, it would have increased the amount of CO2 from the United States by less than THREE TENTHS of one percent or 0.286456% to be precise. Do we all REALLY believe the pipeline was vetoed due to environmental concerns? No! It was done to keep the focus on the oil sands and keep eyes off of many countries and industries inflicting far greater harm to the environment.
There are other sources of greenhouse gases besides the oil sands of Alberta, and many of these are much larger. If we loo globally, there are more than 1.6 billion ruminants (ie cattle, bison, buffalo, deer, and other animals) that basically ferment their food in one of multiple stomachs. These animals expel one way or another and add approximately two billion tons of CO2e per year in the form of methane. The clearing, land prep, and fertilizing of the lands required adds another 2.8 billion tons per year of CO2e. China’s coal fired power plants alone add more than 175 mt of CO2 to the environment every year, and that number continues to increase.
Perhaps, the great Albert Einstein had it right when he said, “Nothing will benefit human health and increase the chances of survival on earth as much as the evolution to a vegetarian diet.” Much as people like James Cameron and Leonardo Dicaprio will never give up their carbon intensive lifestyle, I am reluctant to give up BBQ’ing my favorite cut of beef. So, unless we all plan to go back to living off the land, trade in our cars for horses, stop flying in airplanes, and give up eating meat, we had better figure a way to do this TOGETHER! The best teams, and the teams that win the most, are the ones that have no care for WHO scores the winning goal. They only care they all come out winners. THAT is what we need from our politicians, and I do not see it coming from either the NDP or our “resource-full” PM. I see only political posturing and pandering to all the special interest groups that helped get them elected.
I will freely admit to being a conservative. Actually, I’m a fiscal conservative who leans towards liberalism when it comes to the welfare of ALL people, but blaming the state of the Alberta economy solely on the reigning or previous government is ludicrous. Our economy is currently driven by a global commodity in which we do not have the best or even second best product on the market. Due to oversupply, it is getting to be a very tough sell. With that being said, uncertainty and mixed messages about our royalty structure CAN be blamed on an inexperienced and dangerous government. A government that likely had no inkling it would EVER actually be given the keys to the province. A government that is spending more time importing staffers in their own form of patronage rewards than dealing with that issue.
Importing far left leaning “advisers” like Brian Topp and Graham Mitchell is NOT what Albertans signed on for unless the average NDP voter is even less informed than I originally thought. The NDP, based on previous behavior and comments, DO want to kill the oil business. The uncertainty created by dragging out the wasteful royalty review has driven investment away.
Alberta actually has tremendous track record as far as the environment and regulation goes. When the USA brought in much stricter flare gas regulations in 2014, they copied a great deal of what Alberta had done to protect the environment. Our PM, and whomever else is touring the world running their mouths, should be stressing the improvements we have made and how far we have progressed as an industry. Perhaps, we should send some Canadians down to Louisiana and get on the news about how that state has polluted its own protected areas with rotted and rusting oilfield equipment? Maybe we should send some folks out to Ohio and other Eastern U.S. refineries that are leaking barrel upon barrel of oil into the ground? Alberta is in the middle of a smear campaign and our biggest problem is the movers and shakers in the NDP government, those who are supposed to represent us, is filled with folks who only a year ago would have architected such a campaign themselves!
We NEED a business friendly government that works WITH Alberta companies to stay solvent. We need support to expand our offerings and do things like creat new solutions and expanding into new markets so we can CREATE MORE JOBS! The oil and gas industry in Alberta continues to cut jobs and spending, but the reduction of investment in Alberta is a clear message to this government I truly hope gets heard. The recent rejection by Quebec of the energy east pipeline is ridiculous. They don’t even have the power to reject it as it is a federal decision.
Even a drama teacher MUST be able to figure out without Alberta’s cash his beloved Quebec would not have survived this long. He is obligated to do what is best for our ENTIRE COUNTRY and not just for good old “Lower Canada”.
By: Stephen Mackisoc, C.E.T. – Operations Consultant Plains Fabrication - Feb 2016 - oilfieldpulse.com
Tuesday, 23 February 2016
I think that one day we will look back upon the last couple of decades and say that without a doubt those were the best years for humanity in terms of lifestyle, safety and security here in Canada and in other developed economies. It would seem doubtful that humans will solve the issue of climate change. Canada, in an effort to lead by example, looks to create an economic shift in our economy in order to reduce our 1.8 % percent of global emissions. The outcomes from Paris suggest China will double their emissions by 2030 and India will triple theirs. Currently the carbon tax being proposed by the Federal Government is $15 tonne. That number needs to be somewhere around $160 tonne to reach the stated targets.
Peter Foster writes in the Financial Post on Feb 18, 2016 titled Naomi Klein stars in ‘This Misrepresents Everything’ : …..Klein’s documentary This Changes Everything, which will air on CBC - “Can I be honest with you?” Klein asks at the beginning of this very dishonest film. “I’ve always kind of hated films about climate change … Is it really possible to be bored by the end of the world?”
No, Naomi, but it is possible to be bored by people who prattle incessantly that the end of the world is imminent when it isn’t, and who want to end the best world we’ve ever had.
We, as the CAGC, track social media metrics for not only our feeds but for all feeds across the Industry Associations and specific industry focused websites. The numbers are interesting in terms of how difficult it is for the Industry to gain traction. Most feeds have somewhere between 500 and 1000 followers. Bigger ones include CAPP with 4,000 Facebook Likes; 38,000 Twitter Followers and 3,500 LinkedIn Followers. Their campaign Energy Citizens has 66,000 Facebook Likes and 5,600 Twitter Followers. Even Cody Battershill’s Canada Action – I love OilSands only has 26,000 Facebook Likes and 17,000 Twitter Followers. Given we are a country of more than some 33 million, we actually touch a very small portion with our media.
The CAODC are launching their own campaign called Oil Respect.
Why Oil Respect Might Just Work by Bill Whitelaw, CEO, JuneWarren-Nickle's Energy Group, February 22, 2016
Picture this: a stone tossed into a pond.
It creates on the water's surface an impact that displays as ever-widening circles radiating outward. Each successive concentric circle is wider than its predecessor.
It's a good metaphor for a Canadian economy increasingly stressed by the impacts of low commodity prices; each circle has its own identifiable characteristics of economic impairment. And the outer circle is now almost unimaginably large and it's dawning on ordinary Canadians that an energy sector in the tank does no one any good.
Now, in your mind's eye, replace the stone with a drill bit and imagine it tossed into the troubled waters that is the Canadian economy.
The drill bit is another useful metaphor: how many of them are turning, or not, in a very real way defines Canada's economic momentum. In the context of the bit-in-a-pond allusion, the concentric circle can be understood to represent impacts on Canadians as they ripple outward.
The drill bit is also usefully symbolic in that it represents Oil Respect, a timely and impactful awareness campaign launched last week by the companies whose bits hit the ground to produce the resource wealth that defines Canada.
The Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors (CAODC) is the industry group representing Canada's drilling companies, large and small.
They're the firms whose rigs and personnel execute the development strategies on behalf of Canada's oil and gas companies.
They're also the companies whose staff members and share values are among the first in a complex and lengthy value chain to take it in the chin when industry activity slams to a halt.
Only a quarter of Canada's rigs are working.
Understandably, the drillers have had enough.
Hence Oil Respect.
There are many awareness campaigns out there. Almost too many in terms of potentially crossed signals. But Oil Respect goes to the real root of the problem: the reality that 100,000 Canadians are walking the unemployment lines as a consequence of low petroleum prices. Lives are in tatters. Dreams are broken. And it doesn't matter if the number is 98,000 or 105,000, the facts on the ground are real.
Oil Respect is about those facts.
That people matter.
One of our industry's problems is that we tend to blame "other" ordinary Canadians; those who are not of the sector, for not understanding "how things really work."
Oil Respect aims to show sector workers are just as ordinary as anyone.
Such campaigns also aim at politicians, and while it's true most men and women in office are functionally illiterate when it comes to matters of energy, nothing to date has sufficiently politicized the industry's current distress to produce much beyond bromides and platitudes.
Oil Respect just might work. Those unemployed are voters. And so are their friends and families.
The other reality is we haven't done a terribly good job franchising our own remaining employees with the means to have a conversation with the friends and neighbours — those not of the sector — about how the sector hangs together and produces the economic benefits that Canadians enjoy. Their voices matter too.
That's why every senior leader, operating and service company alike, should get behind Oil Respect.
The drillers took a stance.
Let's put the industry's collective weight behind the program. Buy the T-shirts. Distribute the bumper stickers. Tell your staff to do the same. Tell them to tell their friends. And have their friends talk to their friends.
Go to http://www.oilrespect.ca/. Click the links. Put the links on your websites. Drive traffic. Take social media to those so fond of using it against the sector.
Sign the petition to have a day in February 2017 declared a day to recognize workers. Sign the second petition to push for pipeline support.
Make the difference.
In some distant time and space in order for our civilization to survive it must be ready for one of two “major policy changes”: inequality must be “greatly reduced” or population growth must be “strictly controlled.” Currently we are a long ways from either.
From the Thursday Files
In the end, we'll all become stories.
- Margaret Atwood